Determining Sample Size
Once you have decided to conduct a market research
study, the next step is to determine the number of interviews to be completed.
There are two important issues to take into consideration when determining
this number: the desired reliability of the results and the budget.
The sample size which is normally recommended for most
research studies is based on the industry standard 95% confidence level,
with an accuracy of ±5%.
The confidence level refers to the likelihood that the
final results will not deviate by more than a certain percentage from
the actual population statistics (i.e., the results obtained if everyone
in the population were surveyed).
Using the 95% confidence table, the level of reliability
of the final data can be determined. Keeping in mind the desired goal
of ± 5%, when conducting a study on a population size of 100,000
it would be necessary to conduct 400 surveys. In this case, the reliability
of the results would be ± 4.9% at the 95% confidence level. This
means that in 95 out of 100 repetitions of the survey, the results will
not vary more than ± 4.9%.
Below is the chart used to calculate the reliability
of the information gathered at the 95% confidence level.
Statistical Reliability
at the 95%
Confidence Level
(50/50% proportion characteristic) |
| Population |
| Sample Size
|
|
| |
100 |
500 |
1,000 |
5,000 |
10,000 |
100,000 |
1 Mil.
+ |
30
50
75
100
200
300
400
525
725
800 |
+/-14.7%
+/-9.7
+/-5.6
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
|
+/-17.1
+/-13.1
+/-10.4
+/-8.8
+/-5.4
+/-3.6
+/-2.2
-
-
- |
+/-17.3
+/-13.5
+/-10.9
+/-9.3
+/-6.2
+/-4.7
+/-3.8
+/-3.0
+/-1.9
+/-1.6 |
+/-17.6
+/-13.8
+/-11.3
+/-9.7
+/-6.8
+/-5.5
+/-4.7
+/-4.1
+/-3.4
+/-3.2 |
+/-17.7
+/-13.9
+/-11.4
+/-9.8
+/-6.9
+/-5.6
+/-4.8
+/-4.2
+/-3.5
+/-3.4 |
+/-17.8
+/-14.0
+/-11.5
+/-9.9
+/-7.0
+/-5.7
+/-4.9
+/-4.3
+/-3.6
+/-3.5 |
+/-17.9
+/-14.1
+/-11.6
+/-10.0
+/-7.1
+/-5.8
+/-5.0
+/-4.4
+/-3.7
+/-3.6 |
|
With the ideal sample size determined, a decision must be made as to the
financial feasibility of surveying the given number of people. When estimating
the costs for a market research study, it is important to keep in mind
that data collection (surveying) normally makes up the highest percentage
the study’s budget. With each study, it is necessary to strike a
balance between cost and reliability.
|